South Africa details forecasting model

The Reserve Bank of South Africa has published a paper describing the key stochastic equations in its core model, which is used for forecasting purposes at Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meetings.

The model was developed with comments from foreign central bankers, research institutions, and academics.

It is a medium-sized Type II hybrid model, incorporating a long-run equilibrium based on economic theory and historical relationships, as well as short-run dynamics that allow the economy to

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