A latent rise in r* could upend monetary policy
A rising natural rate could create serious challenges for policy-makers, write Jorma Schäublin and Philip Turner
A surge in borrowing worldwide – private sector from 2019 and public sector from 2020 – may herald the beginnings of a global savings shortage. If so, a latent increase in the natural rate of interest (r*) may be underway – a potential game-changer for fiscal and monetary policy.
The advanced economies pre-CovidOne major, but underappreciated, force in advanced economies (AEs) holding down r* after the global financial crisis (GFC) was that the private sector limited its borrowing despite
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
More on Monetary Policy
Mexico continues easing with quarter-point cut
Analysts think larger reduction is plausible but central bank stays cautious
Central Bank of the Philippines cuts policy rate by 25bp
Third reduction in a row follows Fed’s quarter-point cut
BoJ holds rates, completes broad monetary policy review
Governor admits bank has been slow to raise rates, but highlights need to assess wage data and US policy
Sweden makes further cuts, but Norway continues to hold
Riksbank reduces rates by 25bp, but Norges Bank maintains more hawkish approach
BoE holds rates as UK inflation hits eight-month high
Decision closer than expected as members unsure about implications of government budget
CNB’s Aleš Michl on tackling inflation, Friedman’s legacy and ditching DSGE
Czech governor speaks about policy mistakes, targeting M2, diversifying into equities and gold, and ending interest on minimum reserves
Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25bp
Powell says effects of Trump’s proposed policies, including tariffs, remain unclear
Bank Indonesia holds rates after HQ raided over graft probe
Benchmark rate stays at 6% two days after offices searched over alleged misuse of CSR funds