US forward guidance is contractionary for Canada – BIS paper
Model highlights “beggar-thy-neighbour” effect of Fed’s forward guidance
Surprise announcements of forward guidance in the US tend to exert a drag on the Canadian economy, research published by the Bank for International Settlements finds.
Callum Jones, Mariano Kulish and Daniel Rees have developed an identification method for “forward guidance shocks” similar to that widely used for policy rate shocks. With the policy rate stuck at the zero lower bound, unanticipated changes to the expected path of the policy rate can be interpreted as forward guidance shocks
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
More on Monetary Policy
BIS paper explores how AI can predict asset demand
Better data availability and modelling techniques help central banks evaluate market reaction to QE
Reserve Bank of Australia holds policy rate again
Central bank says underlying inflation remains “too high”
Argentina reduces policy rate for first time since May
Analyst says 500bp cut means country is unlikely to lift currency controls soon
State Bank of Pakistan cuts rates by 250bp
Fourth consecutive reduction comes one month after IMF begins disbursing $7 billion funding package
Colombia cuts rates by 50bp in split decision
Recent constitutional reform bill could hurt fiscal sustainability, says central bank
Savings dampen monetary policy effectiveness – Fed paper
Central banks should track excess saving at a high frequency, authors recommend
Policy tightening reduces labour productivity and presence – paper
Lower participation and labour supply have inflationary effects, Bank of Canada authors find
ECB paper finds asymmetric spillover from US monetary policy
Tightening episodes affect emerging markets more than expansionary episodes do, say researchers