Market and survey-based measures of expectations provide useful information, ECB paper says
Both types of inflation estimate outperform statistical predictions
Both survey-based and market-based measures of inflation expectations provide useful information on future inflation, a working paper published this month by the European Central Bank (ECB) argues.
In Inflation forecasts: are market-based and survey-based measures informative?, Magdalena Grothe and Aidan Meyler assess the performance of both measures of expectations against eventual inflation.
The authors note both types are regularly used by central banks, but their forecasting performance
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
More on Monetary Policy
ECB set for 100bp of rate cuts by autumn – Greek governor
France is ‘an issue’ and Trump presidency an ‘explosive mix’, says Stournaras
Refinancing at higher rates might not cut consumption – BoE paper
Homeowners’ ability to modify loan terms could weaken monetary policy transmission, study finds
Madagascar’s governor on targeting M3 over inflation
Central Bank of Madagascar head Aivo Andrianarivelo speaks about introducing an interest rate corridor, diversifying from dollars to gold, using instant payments to bolster inclusion and drawing on IMF sustainability funding
Turkey makes 250bp cut
MPC narrows rate corridor by 300bp as inflation shows signs of cooling
Unfunded fiscal spending leads to lower real rates – research
Deglobalisation could limit ability of monetary policy to control inflation, says author
Russia pauses tightening, but warns rates will stay high
Central bank governor says inflation expectations are at risk of becoming unanchored
Colombia surprises markets and slows easing cycle
Quarter point cut a “strong message” of independence by central bank, analysts say
Mexico continues easing with quarter-point cut
Analysts think larger reduction is plausible but central bank stays cautious