Data shows growing medium-term risk for global economy – IMF
Researchers assess three types of financial data as predictors of GDP growth risk
Financial data indicates that risks to medium-term global GDP growth may be growing, a chapter in the International Monetary Fund’s latest global financial stability report argues.
The report’s third chapter, ‘Financial conditions and growth at risk’, presents what its authors argue is a new macroeconomic measure of financial stability.
Different kinds of financial data are effective as indicators of future risk over the short and medium terms, they argue. In the short term, widening risk
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