China’s current credit trajectory is ‘dangerous’, IMF warns
Fund revises up China’s GDP growth forecast, but warns debt-fuelled growth is unsustainable
The International Monetary Fund has warned China’s current credit trajectory is “dangerous”, with “increasing risks of a “disruptive adjustment”.
In a report published on August 15, the IMF says that according to the international experience of credit booms, China’s current credit trajectory is “dangerous, with increasing risks of a disruptive adjustment and/or a marked growth slowdown”.
The fund studied 43 cases of previous credit booms, finding that only five ended without a major growth
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