Trade tensions set to harm long-term US growth – IMF paper
Output would decline even if China voluntarily limits its exports to the US
Several trade dispute scenarios are set to damage the long-term performance of the US economy, says research published by the International Monetary Fund.
In Trade wars and trade deals: estimated effects using a multi-sector model, Carlos Caceres, Diego Cerdeiro and Rui Mano analyse three main scenarios. The first estimates effects from potential US auto tariffs. The second studies a ‘transactional deal’ between the US and China to close their bilateral deficit. The third assesses the impact of
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
More on Economics
As a population ages, impact of deflation worsens – BoJ study
Research says falling prices inflict greatest harm on young people
Policy analysis takes most of PhD economists’ time
Other tasks consume just a quarter of their official hours
Rate hikes affect manufacturing economies more – Fed study
Authors find similar effects across eurozone and in US at county level
Canada’s GDP revisions ‘raise questions over monetary policy’
However, experts disagree on whether central bank’s modelling was flawed and if it cut rates too quickly
Two-thirds of central banks forecast policy rate in main models
But relatively few make their rate forecasts public
Economists’ median salary falls below $30,000 a year
Annual budget of economics departments averages under $1 million
Policy economists outnumber research colleagues
Economics FTE staff make up 4% of central banks’ overall employees, on average
The past and future of BIS economics
Claudio Borio looks back over 37 years at the BIS and Hyun Song Shin looks to the future