Price shocks worse with poorly anchored inflation expectations – IMF paper
Inflation rises less and falls quicker after shocks when expectations are well anchored, study finds
The terms of trade shocks have a more severe impact on prices when inflation expectations are poorly anchored, a team of researchers have found.
In the paper, published by the International Monetary Fund, Rudolfs Berns et al study price responses to the terms of trade shocks, based on international commodity prices. They examine data from 45 countries between 1989 and 2017.
In countries with weaker inflation expectation anchoring, “the annualised month-on-month inflation rate remains more than
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
More on Economics
Inflation and GDP growth forecast errors decrease further
Forecast errors used widely for key model adjustments
One in five main models has endogenous financial sector
Benchmark highlights array of methods central banks use to model financial sector
Central banks published fewer working papers and articles in 2023
Middle income and low income central banks published less
US rate hikes ‘lock in’ homeowners – Fed study
Tighter monetary policy raises house prices and reduces churn, research finds
San Francisco Fed paper details declining immigration into US
Statistics show decline after White House’s June proclamation barring entry across southern border
Time series and semi-structural models widely applied
High income countries more likely to use AI than peers from other income levels
Savings, not debt, can finance EU growth – Villeroy de Galhau
Governments need “strategic pivot” to meet structural challenges, says BdF governor
Economic growth and inflation remain most forecast indicators
But year-on-year data show rising priority for exchange rates