IMF paper develops model of systemic risk

IMF headquarters in Washington, DC

A working paper published by the International Monetary Fund in June, studies the asymmetric response of the financial system to shocks in individual institutions.

Authors German Lopez-Espinosa, Antonio Moreno, Antonio Rubia and Laura Valderrama find the impact of a fall in individual market value on the overall system is sevenfold that of an increase for the median-sized firm. They develop an asymmetric value-at-risk model that accounts for this non-linearity.

Based on the model, the paper

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