US housing prices strongly influenced by news, says Bank of Portugal paper

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News shocks emerge as relevant sources of macroeconomic fluctuations in the US housing market, and significantly contributed to the two boom and bust periods since the 1970s, according to a Bank of Portugal paper published on January 23.

Sandra Gomes and Caterina Mendicino, the paper's authors, use US survey data to quantify the role of expectation-driven cycles for housing market fluctuations in the US economy. The authors say news shocks related to these sectors of the economy could

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