Tight policy can cause spike in money growth

bundesbank

A one-off monetary-policy shock, which raises short-term interest rates, can increase M3 in the short term due to portfolio shifts, new research from Deutsche Bundesbank finds.

The analysis shows that as theory suggests money growth is dampened by a restrictive monetary policy stance in the longer term. However, it also shows that M3 growth can increase due to portfolio shifts caused by the rise in the short-term interest rate. The research notes that this has consequences for the interpretation

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