Is It Possible to Predict the Future?

ARTICLE - William Poole, president of the St Louis Fed, has given his opinion on economic forecasting in an article called 'Is It Possible to Predict the Future?'

Economic Forecasts: Is It Possible to Predict the Future?

Most economists have about as much confidence in economic forecasts as they do in forecasts about their local weather. Since Jan. 3, 2001, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has cut the intended funds rate 11 times. During the January 2002 FOMC meeting, the committee voted

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