Communicating uncertainty helps curb expectations – BoC paper
But conveying uncertainty about inflation weakens link between inflation and spending plans
Communicating uncertainty over the inflation outlook can help to curb inflation expectations, a new working paper published by the Bank of Canada finds.
“All types of information about inflation are effective at immediately managing inflation expectations, with information about outlooks being more effective and more relevant than that about recent inflation and bank targets,” authors Olena Kostyshyna and Luba Petersen write.
The downside they find to communicating uncertainty is its impact on
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. Printing this content is for the sole use of the Authorised User (named subscriber), as outlined in our terms and conditions - https://www.infopro-insight.com/terms-conditions/insight-subscriptions/
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. Copying this content is for the sole use of the Authorised User (named subscriber), as outlined in our terms and conditions - https://www.infopro-insight.com/terms-conditions/insight-subscriptions/
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
More on Communication
Traditional comms still a bigger focus than social media
Lower-middle income teams less likely to track external communications
External comms impact gauged by trust and comprehension
Absolute numbers of appearances, social media engagement and market indicators rank lowest
Facebook, LinkedIn, X are top social channels
Central banks see “interactions” as key metric for tracking social media
Comms teams becoming less involved in key policy decisions
Early involvement appears to raise effectiveness in monetary policy communication
Central banks report varied approaches to layering comms
Many institutions use video and infographics to make key reports more accessible
Email and social media still top two-way comms channels
Only teams from Asia-Pacific central banks report use of live website chat
Comms staff rarely hold PhD qualifications
Social media and writing skills remain leading areas for capacity building
Female staff make up over 60% of average comms team
Employees most likely to fall in age category of 40–49
Most read
- ECB staff speak out against changes to internal survey
- Central bank of the year: Central Bank of Brazil
- BIS’s Zhang Tao on why Asian central banks favour a broader policy mix