Expectations
Navigating the digital transformation at Deutsche Bundesbank – an update
Joachim Wuermeling explains how the Covid-19 pandemic and other developments have affected the German central bank’s digital transformation during the past two years
BIS paper challenges standard theories of term structure
“Expectation errors”, not term premia, create biased predictions of short-term rate – researchers
Costa Rica orders second consecutive rate hike
Inflation remains within target band but risks “lean to the upside”, board says
Reputational risk tops central bank concerns
Cyber security and credit/counterparty risk followed
Peru hikes rates 50bp again
Central bank continues tightening programme begun in August
Bank of Jamaica hikes policy rate
Central bank raises rate by 50 basis points in bid to reverse inflationary trend
Russia orders seventh straight rate hike
Central bank continues protracted battle against high inflation
Colombia stays on trend with 50bp hike
Central bank board unanimous on raising rate, but splits 4–3 on size of increase
Bank of England raises policy rate
Tightening comes amid inflation surge and just after BoE completes asset purchases
Tackling surging inflation
Central banks around the world are grappling with rapid price rises, with some taking very different routes to one another
Mervyn King attacks central bank theories of inflation
Expectations are “too fragile” to serve as an anchor for inflation, former BoE governor says
Final frontier? Japan after the Kuroda experiment
The Bank of Japan has pushed monetary easing close to its limit, yet inflation is barely above zero. What happens now?
Should ESG reporting be made mandatory?
As concern around the impact of climate change on businesses grows, many regulators have announced their intentions to include ESG requirements in reporting frameworks
New York Fed opens new research centre
Marco Del Negro will lead work on research methods and issues in macroeconomics
Central bank signals could be impacting natural rate – BIS paper
“Learning process” could explain decline in interest rates without drop in productivity, authors say
Czech National Bank makes 125bp hike
Central bank promises aggressive action to resist “exceptionally strong price pressures”
‘Say what?’ Trust in central bank communications
Central banks are changing how they communicate with different audiences, but judging the success of these communication efforts is difficult
Forecaster surveys improve eurozone inflation modelling – ECB paper
Households’ and firms’ expectations do not provide useful data on inflation
Permanent or transitory? Officials wrestle with inflation uncertainty
Bailey warns of possible damage to credibility, but Carstens urges caution amid high uncertainty
James Bullard on Fed policy, action and governance
St Louis president calls for tapering amid “exceptional” job market and risk of “more persistent” inflation, quantifies ‘big tent language’ for pioneering AIT move, and details Congress’s role in Fed ethics oversight
Mexican inflation rising rapidly, warns deputy governor
Heath says prices increasing at “really phenomenal” rate but expects full pandemic recovery by 2023
US CPI inflation rises to 5.4%
Prices continue upward climb, but policy-makers still see pressures as temporary
Covid-19, crypto and climate weigh on global economy – GFSR
Central banks face difficult “intertemporal trade-offs”; poorer nations unlikely to regain pre-Covid growth levels for “many, many years”, says IMF’s financial counsellor Tobias Adrian
Summers fears for Fed’s ability to remove ‘punchbowl’
Central banks may not be able to counter inflation threat amid possible return to 1960s economics, says former US Treasury secretary