Economics
Inattention helps explain flat Phillips curve – Fed paper
Inflation may be less sensitive to shocks because people are not paying attention, authors say
IMF paper builds corruption indicator using big data
Corruption shocks negatively impact long-term real outcomes, authors say
Weidmann urges Greece to implement further reforms
Deutsche Bundesbank president recommends additional reforms and “sound” fiscal policy
Thailand’s macroeconomic policy at a ‘turning point’ – Santiprabhob
Policy will have to evolve to support the economy rather than stimulate it, governor says
Global crisis uncertainty harmed investment – BoE paper
Authors say their results offer a benchmark for possible Brexit-related uncertainty
IMF authors dismiss global Phillips curve as euro inflation driver
Domestic factors largely behind “remarkably stable” inflation in eurozone
Jackson Hole: policy-makers come to defence of disruption
Poloz and Carstens highlight benefits of technological and trade disruption; monetary policy can cope with the uncertainty, Bank of Canada governor says
Haldane: market power puzzle is important for policy
Micro and macro evidence “not easily reconciled”, says BoE chief economist, but market power could have major impact on inflation
Bank of Mauritius lowers inflation forecast
Adverse shocks to food prices are subsiding, central bank says
Foreign monetary policy affects French and Italian lending – researchers
US policy especially significant, Banque de France paper finds
Tariffs will reduce US exports – New York Fed
Higher producing costs likely to reduce competitiveness of local production, article says
Tariffs unlikely to have lasting impact on US economy – Bullard
Disruption of global supply chain could be biggest risk of trade dispute to date, says St Louis Fed president
Negative policy rates increases risk-taking by high-deposit banks - ECB paper
Eurozone banks with high deposit levels have changed lending patterns since 2014, say researchers
Trade data can detect illegal financial flows, Bank of Italy paper says
Authorities largely ignore “trade-based money laundering”, authors argue
Spanish banks strongly influenced by knowledge of firms, paper finds
Banks’ understanding of clients helped smooth credit contraction during financial crisis – researchers
Podcast: David Hendry and John Muellbauer on empirical macro
The econometricians cast a sceptical eye over DSGE models and weigh up some alternatives
US expansion set to continue in H2 2018 – Dallas Fed
US enjoys strong consumer spending, a healthy labour market and inflation on target
New York Fed publishes nowcasting code
Matlab code for estimating a dynamic factor model now available in online repository
West Bank weakness drives economic slowdown in Palestine
Palestine Monetary Authority notes “significant drop” in West Bank conditions index
Non-linear mortgage features can impact policymaking – BoE paper
Non-linear features of mortgages impact policymaking in a DSGE model, the authors find
Imperfect algorithms impact market pricing – Fed paper
News-parsing algorithms create temporary distortions and may cut liquidity, paper finds
Turkish lira down 22% as crisis builds
Lira collapses and bond yields soar as Donald Trump unveils fresh sanctions