Economics
Shale oil boom has not shifted global supply- ECB paper
Global oil supply appears to be “rather vertical” at all times, researchers find
‘Animal spirits’ are real, DNB paper says
Researchers analyse data on household spending and consumer confidence
BoE under pressure with July inflation release
Bank of England must deal with recent fall in GDP and Brexit uncertainty
ECB’s bond purchases restrict monetary policy – DNB paper
Higher demand for safe assets widens bond yields and cuts policy transmission, says researcher
Eurozone bank productivity growth fell over last decade – ECB paper
Researchers try to quantify eurozone banks’ total factor productivity growth
IMF sets up new monetary policy modelling unit
Fund responds to criticism from IEO report
Book notes: After Piketty, by Heather Boushey, Bradford Delong & Marshall Steinbaum
The book leaves you with a deeper and nuanced understanding of Piketty's work
BoI paper uses shadow rates to measure influence of QE
Fed’s policy weakened dollar from 2011–14, researchers find
US Treasury designates China a currency manipulator
Renminbi crossed the barrier of seven per US dollar amid growing trade tensions on August 5
Institutional approaches are key factor in mortgage defaults – BoE paper
European countries show major differences in mortgage default factors, researchers find
Dallas Fed paper looks at impact of tech shocks
Researchers exploit forecast data for “more precise” identification of technology shocks
‘Night-time luminosity’ can shed light on growth – RBI paper
Satellite data is useful as a high-frequency indicator of economic activity, authors find
Non-banks attracting more global liquidity than banks for first time
In Q1, more liquidity flowed to non-banks than banks for the first time in 40 years of BIS data
Two-thirds of countries failing to meet global standards on inflation – IMF paper
More than half the world has not updated CPI weighting in the last five years, researchers find
Sovereign default risk affects bank assets – Bank of Italy paper
Researchers look at data on bank assets from 15 countries from 2004–18
Higher inflation expectations can cut consumption – research
Authors conduct randomised control trial to test “forward guidance puzzle”
Proposal to axe Phillips curve triggers controversy
“One cannot just ignore an equation,” retorts Olivier Blanchard
Book notes: Humanomics, by Vernon L Smith and Bart J Wilson
While being authored by world-class Adam Smith specialists means this is a must-read, the value-added of the book “remains a bit vague”
RBA’s Lowe defends inflation target’s effectiveness
Alternative frameworks would be difficult to implement and harder to explain – Australian governor
Climate change will hit US growth hard – Dallas Fed study
US growth could fare worse than China’s with projected temperature rises, researchers find
Policy uncertainty can magnify cost shocks – BoI paper
Lack of clarity over inflation targets increases effects of cost-push shocks on output, researchers say